Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000143 0.000159 0.000176 0.000196 0.000218 0.000241 0.000269
2025-10-05 0.000119 0.000140 0.000165 0.000195 0.000230 0.000271 0.000321
2025-10-12 0.000104 0.000129 0.000159 0.000198 0.000247 0.000306 0.000382
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.000118 0.000152 0.000199 0.000259 0.000336 0.000441
2025-10-26 0.000080 0.000109 0.000146 0.000198 0.000269 0.000363 0.000498
2025-11-02 0.000071 0.000101 0.000140 0.000197 0.000278 0.000389 0.000554
2025-11-09 0.000065 0.000094 0.000135 0.000197 0.000287 0.000416 0.000615
2025-11-16 0.000058 0.000087 0.000129 0.000194 0.000293 0.000439 0.000670
2025-11-23 0.000053 0.000082 0.000125 0.000194 0.000301 0.000464 0.000731
2025-11-30 0.000049 0.000078 0.000122 0.000194 0.000310 0.000492 0.000799
2025-12-07 0.000045 0.000074 0.000118 0.000192 0.000316 0.000513 0.000857
2025-12-14 0.000043 0.000071 0.000116 0.000195 0.000328 0.000547 0.000938
2025-12-21 0.000040 0.000068 0.000114 0.000196 0.000338 0.000578 0.001020
2025-12-28 0.000037 0.000065 0.000111 0.000195 0.000345 0.000606 0.001098
2026-01-04 0.000035 0.000063 0.000110 0.000199 0.000361 0.000649 0.001207
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000060 0.000108 0.000199 0.000371 0.000682 0.001301
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000058 0.000106 0.000199 0.000378 0.000712 0.001391
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000055 0.000103 0.000198 0.000384 0.000739 0.001479
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000053 0.000101 0.000198 0.000393 0.000772 0.001580
2026-02-08 0.000025 0.000050 0.000098 0.000195 0.000396 0.000795 0.001663
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000048 0.000095 0.000195 0.000403 0.000825 0.001764
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000195 0.000412 0.000860 0.001879
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000044 0.000091 0.000193 0.000416 0.000884 0.001972